As a financial worker, I am not optimistic about Yinchuan's housing prices, and it is unlikely that housing prices will rise in the future.
Because the current housing price increase in Yinchuan is incited and tempted by many "negative" factors, it is an irrational phenomenon and cannot last forever. Moreover, the rise in housing prices is driven by demand and economic development. The economic development of a city is the main driving force for the rise of housing prices in this city.
Yinchuan simply does not have these two factors. First, the traffic conditions are not ideal, not as good as the high-speed rail of the nearby Zhongwei. This is short-legged and underdeveloped for a provincial capital city. It is similar to nearby Wuzhong and Shizuishan, so people don't have to buy a house in Yinchuan. Obviously, the population influx of Yinchuan in the future will not be too large, and the demand for housing prices will be insufficient. Secondly, under other abnormal influences, there has been an irrational increase in the purchase of houses in Yinchuan, which has a relatively high vacancy rate among the provincial capital cities in China. Some people joked that every family in Yinchuan has four or five suites, and the house price is also valuable. It is unlikely that the house price will rise again in the future. Third, as the capital city of the northwest inland, it is economically backward and lacks of tourism resources, which is not attractive to the foreign population. It is almost impossible to increase the housing demand only by the local population.
Based on the above factors, Yinchuan's future housing prices are basically impossible to rise, and there may be a downward trend.
Seeing this question about Yinchuan housing prices, I can't help but want to answer it. Let me talk about my own views.
Will Yinchuan's housing prices rise again? I think it may rise at a certain stage and in a certain region, but we still can't rule out the suspicion of false rise and empty push. House prices have gone up, although just like "it's going to rain and mom is going to get married", ordinary people can't stop it. But it is not a scourge, and the government is completely controllable. So, what is the real situation of Yinchuan housing prices? Should it go up?
Yinchuan is the capital of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, but Yinchuan is located in the northwest and is a remote inland third-tier city. The urban area is small, the population is small and the traffic is underdeveloped. These are the actual situations. However, in recent years, the housing construction in Yinchuan has increased rapidly, and the vacancy rate of completed houses remains high, which is crowded with streets. Someone once ridiculed that Yinchuan's per capita four or five suites is enough. The attraction of a city is not the number of houses, but the comprehensive index and happiness index of the city.
The traffic situation in Yinchuan is worrying, and such a small city is among the best in the country. Imagine a city that can't even solve the basic traffic problems, and then talk about something else. Is it depressing? Although the recent housing prices have been raised by negative factors, I believe it will not last long. Because the national policy has been set, the house is for living, not for speculation. It is the mainstream trend for the state to continuously introduce regulatory policies to reduce housing prices. Many economists predict that house prices in third-and fourth-tier cities will only decrease or increase, while big bowl industrialists such as Ma Yun, Li Ka-shing and Cao predict that house prices will not increase or decrease. The actual situation of Yinchuan housing market is also "there is no market for houses", and the housing market is in a downturn and sales are not good. Holding several suites in hand, it is impossible to realize the dream of getting rich by real estate speculation. Maybe he fell into the pit and will fall badly in the future. Therefore, we must be alert to the unhealthy trend of driving up housing prices and encouraging real estate speculation in Yinchuan. I also believe that a responsible local government will not only rely on housing to promote and support GDP, but also rely on revitalizing the real economy for economic construction. Wuzhong and Shizuishan, near Yinchuan, are fifty or sixty kilometers apart. If you abandon your family and move to Yinchuan to buy a house, you may regret living a crowded, noisy and inconvenient life. The high-speed rail in Zhongwei, which is a little farther away, has passed. Ningxia is not big, and all cities in Ningxia are connected with the same city, which is fast and convenient. So buying a house in Yinchuan is not necessarily optimistic. What's more, the level of housing prices should be closely related to people's income. Someone shouted that Yinchuan's house price should exceed 10 thousand. Excuse me, do you know the income of local people? In the cities and counties around Yinchuan, most people bought houses and left them idle. Some people went to work in other places, but they kept a vacant room for nothing, which made people depressed. So don't be fooled, have your own opinions and buy a house rationally according to demand.
Ningxia, Yinchuan and Meilihusha Lake
Yinchuan is a third-tier city in China, with 6 administrative districts and a total (resident) population of 2.25 million. There are differences in prices between urban areas, and the price in the central city is higher. Let's take a look at Yinchuan property market first:
Yinchuan house price trend
Over the past year, Yinchuan's housing prices have continued to rise. 2065438+August 2009, the reference price of the new quotation is 6787 yuan, which is 14% higher than the price of 5952 yuan at the beginning of the year.
Second-hand housing-in the past year, the price of second-hand housing has continued to rise. In August 20 19, the reference price was 5375 yuan, up 3.5% from the beginning of the year. It increased by 6. 14% compared with the same period of last year.
In the main urban area of Yinchuan, some buildings refer to the average price distribution.
Economic development of Yinchuan 20 18
According to the comprehensive data, Yinchuan's economic fundamentals have reached above the national average, but it is not a developed region.
Monks believe that Yinchuan housing prices will mainly be stable and volatile.
Generally speaking, Yinchuan's housing prices will mainly fluctuate smoothly, which is also the requirement of a long-term regulation mechanism under the responsibility of Yinchuan city government.
The above property data are for reference only.
Thanks for reading!
Rise is inevitable. I wonder if you have paid attention recently? At present, the land price in Yinchuan reaches 4,200 yuan/square meter, plus the construction cost of 4,000 yuan/square meter, plus the money to be earned by developers, the price of new development projects in the later period will not be lower than 1 10,000 yuan/square meter. Seeing the friends above say that there are 3000-5000 houses in the south of the city, I want to say, do you really understand? After the end of this year, the house price in the north of Liupanshan Road in the south of the city is not less than 5200.
Don't imagine that falling house prices are an idiotic dream, and house prices will only rise gradually. How many links does a real estate have from the initial purchase, design, construction and sales to the purchase of real estate license and keys? The cost of every link is rising ... I'm not qualified to comment on others. I'm just a migrant worker. I only say what I know. Building materials have been rising, right? Steel bar, wood square, formwork, steel pipe, concrete, external wall insulation, waterproof material, etc. Has the construction cost gone up again? I don't know much about supervision, environmental protection, standardized operation, labor wages, construction machinery ... and I have no right to talk nonsense. Let me give you a few examples. I won't talk about the government projects I have participated in these years. I checked the house price of Shimao Yuehai by myself. At that time, only environmental protection was fined millions, and the equipment and labor invested in environmental protection and standardized chemicals were millions. The rental fee for two 300-meter buildings in the Green Center is 400,000 yuan a month (each building is 400,000 yuan a month, and each of the two 300-meter buildings is equipped with four large tower cranes, and the auxiliary tower cranes next to it and the surrounding annex buildings are not considered for the time being); The construction site I am working on now, China Shipping International Lianhu Garden, has been shut down for rectification for half a month because of unqualified environmental protection and unqualified standard chemical field. It is said that it will take a day or two to return to work after acceptance. In the past two months, the rectification funds have exceeded 2 million, but only five buildings have been opened, and the next eight buildings have not moved. After a long time, I just want to say: wool is on sheep, and ordinary people buy more than just houses. In the process from land auction to key purchase, a suite has to go through many links, and the cost of each link is increasing year by year, and all this will ultimately be paid by the buyers. Therefore, I say that the decline in housing prices is an idiotic dream, unless developers are crazy about selling money; House prices will only rise gradually. As for the increase, it depends on the level of cost and the degree of black heart of developers.
Clear water and blue sky in Ningxia, what are you doing? Real estate is probably the cleanest and most environmentally friendly project, which is the general trend. I dare not say that I will go up, at least not down. But there is a cruel reality that is different from the past, that is, the space for rising house prices now and in the future is almost exhausted by developers. In other words, once the house falls into the hands of ordinary people, the appreciation space is extremely limited and even depreciates; Unlike before, there is still a little room for appreciation behind the mortgage that ordinary people desperately carry, which is also a hope. Now it is very likely that watching the real estate developers shout that the house price has been rising, and your house is depreciating, buying a house has become a game that has to be played, and it is embarrassing to be hollowed out. Haha, it's even scarier to think of it than to do it. ...
Can't go up. First of all, Yinchuan has no advantage for young people and no employment opportunities. The current housing price is not affordable for people with a salary of 3000-4000 in Yinchuan. There are more than 6,000 in the south of the city, and the newly developed area in the north of the city reaches more than 8,000 _ 65,438+10,000 yuan. What to buy with wages has been copied by developers and some high-income people.