Pensions include pensions for retirees and pensions for urban and rural residents. According to the data of Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, at present, there are more than 654.38+0.3 billion pensioners in China, and more than 654.38+0.6 billion pensioners in urban and rural areas. In other words, nearly 300 million people in China are receiving employee pensions or urban and rural residents' pensions. Therefore, whether the pension rises or not is related to the vital interests of many people and is very concerned.

The good news is that the pension increase in 2023 will usher in more certainty. Beijing, Shanghai, Henan, Xinjiang, Ningxia, Guizhou, Hebei and other places have confirmed the increase of pensions through various forms.

Among them, Henan made it clear in the government work report in 2023 that the financial subsidy standards for retirees' basic pensions, urban and rural residents' basic pensions and basic medical insurance should be raised.

In the government work report in 2023, Xinjiang proposed to steadily improve the basic pension level of urban and rural residents' pension insurance.

Shanghai also gave the answer in the government work report in 2023, and coordinated the improvement of social security treatment standards such as pension, medical insurance and subsistence allowance.

In the government work report in 2023, Ningxia proposed to continue to raise the basic pension for retirees and increase the basic pension for urban and rural residents every year 120 yuan.

In 2023, the work report of Hebei government made it clear that the minimum standards of basic old-age pension and unemployment insurance for urban and rural residents should be raised.

In the work report of Guizhou government in 2023, the minimum standard of basic pension for urban and rural residents was raised to 128 yuan per person per month.

In the government work report in 2023, Tibet proposed to further improve the basic old-age insurance for urban and rural residents and other pension benefits 13 standards.

In terms of people's livelihood, Beijing proposes to continue to adjust the basic pension for retirees in 2023.

It can be seen that the areas that explicitly propose to raise the basic pension for retirees are Henan, Shanghai, Ningxia and Beijing, and the areas that explicitly propose to raise the basic pension for urban and rural residents are Henan, Xinjiang, Ningxia, Hebei, Guizhou and Tibet, among which Ningxia and Guizhou have clearly defined the specific amounts, and raised them to 120 yuan and 128 yuan respectively.

Therefore, so many areas have clearly raised the basic pension for retirees or urban and rural residents in 2023, and there is great hope that pensions will rise in 2023, especially for retirees. This is very encouraging news.

Then, who will increase the pension adjustment in 2023?

In fact, pension adjustment has long followed the principle of paying more and getting more. In recent years, pension adjustment has been carried out by means of quota adjustment, hook adjustment and tilt adjustment. It is expected that there will be no accident in the pension adjustment of retirees in 2023, and this adjustment mechanism will continue to be used.

So in 2023, we can estimate who will increase the pension adjustment. There are mainly the following categories of people. The first is the person who enjoys the tilt adjustment. The people who enjoy the tilt adjustment in these years mainly include senior retirees and retirees in hard and remote areas. It is expected that these people will still be taken care of in 2023. The second is that enterprises retire military personnel into cadres. In recent years, many enterprises will take care of retired cadres from the army. The main way is to supplement their pensions after adjustment. Third, people with long payment period and high pension level, which is the direct embodiment of the mechanism of overpayment and overpayment. The fourth is some special groups. Judging from the adjustment of pensions in recent years, some areas will take care of special groups such as old workers who joined the work before the founding of the People's Republic of China, and it is expected that it will be the same in 2023.

As for how much the basic pension for retirees will increase in 2023, it has not yet been determined. In 2022, the pension increase was 4%. Considering the economic growth, price increase and wage increase in 2022, it is expected that the pension increase will continue to narrow in 2023, with a high probability of 3%-4%. How much, or wait and see the formal adjustment notice in March and April this year.