The reason why artificial intelligence can appear is the underlying logic.
What is the underlying logic? That's why the world is bound to move in that direction.
So far, the most reliable statement is that many years ago, a lightning bolt split into the sea, made a DNA in the sea, and then the first DNA of the whole species appeared from the sea, forming the first little life.
The biggest feature of this kind of DNA is that it keeps splitting and combining, and gradually forms marine life. Then marine life feels great pressure and climbs ashore, and then gradually changes from oviparous to viviparous, because viviparous is easier to survive.
In this way, it has gone through a long journey, from a small DNA to a complex creature like us today, which is a process of the whole life plan.
What is the most important thing in this process?
The most important thing is that cells can divide,
Then combine.
According to this principle, Darwin said in the Origin of Species that heredity and variation are the most fundamental secrets of life, that is, the father and mother of all living things each contribute half of their DNA. When they are combined, a little variation will lead to a new product, thus changing the whole world.
There is a famous experiment called: robots pick up trash cans.
Draw a lot of squares on the ground, then randomly put some trash cans and throw a robot in. This robot is a program. If you walk to the right grid and eat the jar, you will get extra points. If you go the wrong way or hit a wall, you will lose points. There are only a few simple rules.
Then, let humans design a program to eat all these cans as quickly as possible. Humans wrote an artificial program with the programmer's thinking to teach robots how to eat this trash can. As a result, the robot got more than 200 points.
Next, they let the robot walk randomly and told it to walk randomly without writing any programs for it. From the beginning, some robots have been hitting a wall in the experiment, but some are still good.
When the first generation of robots have walked many times, combine the two best robots walking here with the first half and the second half, and then make a slight variation. Then throw it in.
Then the machine will walk randomly on the basis of the previous champion and runner-up. After walking many times at random, it will pick out the first and second place, then take half and combine them together.
As a result, after 200 iterations, the robot scored more than 500 points, just like human beings have inherited it for 200 generations.
What do you mean by more than 500 points?
This path is impossible for human beings to plan, because it is very complicated. Humans have done more than 200 points in planning, but this robot is not taught. It keeps landing, simulating and then self-eliminating, and finally forms a super high score.
The underlying logic of artificial intelligence:
It can learn by itself, it can survive the fittest, and it can judge who is doing well and who is not doing well.
If the result of each calculation is substituted into the next operation, the development of power law will be formed, and the development of power law is one of the most fundamental core reasons for robot intelligence.
What is power law?
Buffett's annualized rate of return is around 20%, but he has become the richest man in the world because of the power law.
When the benefit of one year becomes the basis of the development of the next year, it will definitely increase at a particularly horrible speed. This is the power law.
If you fold a piece of paper in half, then fold it in half, then fold it in half, and then fold it in half 50 times, what is the final thickness of this paper?
In fact, if a piece of paper is folded in half 50 times, its height far exceeds the distance from the earth to the moon. What a shock!
The thickness of a piece of paper is 0.08 mm, multiplied by 2 to the 50th power, and the final result is: 0.08 mm * (2 50) = 9002 10000 km, far exceeding the distance from the earth to the moon (the distance from the earth to the moon is about 380000 km).
Power law VS linear thinking
For example, the genetic test was done by the research team, who took a lot of research funds and spent a lot of money on investors. It took seven years to detect the human 1% gene. It takes 7 years to calculate 1%, and 700 years to complete the calculation. Our natural reaction is linear thinking because the human brain likes linear thinking.
But the scientist said, "I have calculated that 1% is half finished, that is, 1% in the first year, 2% in the second year and 8% in the third year." Finally, it took him more than six years to calculate all the human genes.
Moore's Law: The essential attribute of science and technology is to accelerate and reduce costs. The result of the first evolution is the basis of the second evolution.
manual worker
First, manual workers are replaced, and then the intellectual service population.
lawyer
Will be replaced by artificial intelligence in the first place. Many people think lawyers are particularly annoying in America, so Americans want to learn lawyers instead of lawyers.
It is much more reliable to use robots to file a lawsuit than to use people to file a lawsuit. He won't suddenly tell you the temporary price.
doctor
There is also the doctor industry. How far can IBM's supercomputer go? It has no doctor's license and can only assist doctors.
teacher
Nowadays, teachers are students reading teachers and listening to teachers, but artificial intelligence is to let him read every scholar, let him observe your expression, your doubts, and give targeted answers and tests.
In the end, all walks of life may be replaced. What industry is most likely not to be replaced?
Archaeology is most likely irreplaceable.
The market space of archaeology and humanities industry is small, and the profit space of studying artificial intelligence is not large, so it is most likely not to be replaced.
Emotions and emotions will also be controlled by machines.
What else is irreplaceable? Some people say that our human life is sexy, but your love is just an electrical signal.
When the speed of our brain can completely control your inner emotions, you are happy when you are happy and angry when you are angry. Putting a chip on your chest can treat depression.
Tax robot.
Bill Gates is studying how to tax robots, because robots replace the jobs of so many people. When they made all the money, they collected taxes and gave them to idlers.
No one can stop the development of technology. More technology is applied to human beings. Smartphones are already an extension of our bodies, human diseased organs can also be replaced, and heart or liver transplants will continue to survive.
Facial plastic surgery and gene adjustment techniques left over from World War II have been applied. It is impossible for human beings to resist the temptation of technology and make better genetic adjustment before the child is born to change the backwardness after the child is born.
Note: This should be the most important part you need to see! ! ! ! !
Man becomes the master of all things because he has a clever brain. You find that human beings are not the smartest in the future. What should we do?
You should remember that it is nothing to occupy the "upper right corner" for a long time.
The bigger the enterprise is, the more it pays attention to the customer demand in the "upper right corner" and ignores the bottom customer group, and the more opportunities for innovation.
Similarly, no species has ruled the world for a long time.
What else can we do?
The next generation is completely replaced by machines. Maybe what we can do is make more money and buy one or two smart people.
We are more inclined to study literature such as psychology, philosophy and logic.
We welcome the arrival of the new era calmly and make our hearts stronger. I recommend you to read more Greek Stoic books, right? Let's control the environment we can control more, instead of generalizing the anxiety of things we can't control.
After listening to Fan Deng's sharing, everyone obviously has a lot of doubts about their career. Teacher Fan Deng also gave us a wonderful answer.
A: Foreign language translation is easily subverted. Of course, there will also be some top translators who only serve the top groups. When the customer experience of artificial intelligence exceeds that of people, those high-end customers will give up and will be merciless.
Answer: There is no suggestion for this. First, so don't stubbornly think that you have to do whatever you learn. Because I majored in basic materials in college, but I-I'm talking about books now. The major of undergraduate science has little to do with your future work.
Second, never think that you must have a job. There is a book called anti-fragility, and the world will become more and more fragile, that is, the more you plan, the more fragile it will be. Newton deconstructed the world mechanically, and Darwin deconstructed the world biologically. You will find that what can survive in the end must be something that conforms to biology, not something that conforms to the laws of mechanics.
An entrepreneur has stronger anti-vulnerability ability and is more in line with the law of biological development, so I suggest you start a business at such a young age.
Answer: Don't worry, because in the process of slow development, although doctors may be changed, medicine will still be studied on the ground, so it is not reliable for your daughter to decide to become a doctor now.
In fact, the most terrible mother is the mother who always wants to predict the future of her children.
Worse than that, I want to control his future.
No personal life plan. You used the concept of biology. The concept of biology is to have more children and then let them try more jobs and paths. In the end, survival of the fittest will lead to the best choice. So when you choose to be confused, create more options.
A: I'm not talking about creative industries. Now there are robots that write poetry and calligraphy, and create in one minute 100. Times always change much faster than you think.
I always say that I will do what I am good at, and I will always work.
I'm good at static things. If you use a static thing to deal with a dynamic world, how to use it?
Real entrepreneurship is: I want to solve problems, so what I want to do and what I want to know.
When Tang priest was on the road, he didn't know that he could go to the west to learn from the scriptures. Does he know that he will definitely go? Does it know that the Monkey King is waiting for it? No, we'll talk on the way. Entrepreneurship is like driving a car. First, drive in the right direction and find someone who shares your interests.
Because I have to do this, I have to overcome all the difficulties so that I can become a master in this field.
That is, I think if you want to start a business, you should pay more attention to the needs around you when you go back, and you are still dissatisfied with the world. Find those dissatisfied places and try to solve them. This is the mentality of entrepreneurs, not what I will do.
Human beings live in the thinking channel created by philosophers. Excuse me, do you have any colors? We say red and blue, but the color is actually the color of wave reflection. It is we who give it our own "translation", Aristotle, Newtonian mechanics and Einstein's theory of relativity. Do you think that's what you think? Science and technology have broadened our horizons. Constantly recognize how human beings come from and the truth of biological laws.
Does technology really make the future better? Science and technology need a good combination to make human beings beautiful. The benign interaction between natural system and human beings. Nature also has anti-vulnerability, and human ignorance and arrogance will lead to human extinction. We need to explore more humanistic colors, explore the origin of biology, and explore how to live in harmony with nature.
Only with this article can we meet the coming era of artificial intelligence. At the same time, I would like to thank Mr. Wang and the volunteers of the reading club for commemorating our first meeting with Mr. Fan.
This article comes from Fan Deng's reading club, reading club sharing, and my on-site notes.
For the original text, please see:/s/xjivi1qn28ehm5eb1vkofg.