In 2000, Dalian's GDP began to be surpassed by Qingdao. Why? We investigated a data. In 2000, the number of primary school students in Dalian began to decrease. In other words, from this year on, the population of Dalian is slowly losing. Where did it go?
Three major cities: Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou.
In 2000, in the heyday of reform and opening up, the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration represented by Shanghai began to rise, and the Pearl River Delta represented by Guangzhou and Shenzhen also rose. A large number of northeast people began to leave their homes, and Dalian was no exception. According to the current household registration data in Shenzhen, 6.5438+0.2 million Dalian people have settled in Shenzhen. If we only consider the resident population, there are nearly 300,000 Dalian people in Shenzhen, 250,000 in Guangzhou and 300,000 in Shanghai.
Similarly, the total population of Qingdao is also rising steadily, and now the total population has reached 9.29 million, 23 1 10,000 more than that of Dalian.
From 20 15 to 20 16, Dalian's GDP showed a negative growth of 20 15, which was the cold winter of the northeast economy. The three northeastern provinces experienced negative economic growth, and Shenyang, Changchun, Dalian, Harbin and F4 in the northeast collectively fell, resulting in a serious decline in urban competitiveness and economic environment.
People began to spread a saying: "investment is not as good as Shanhaiguan", which is the pain in the hearts of compatriots in Northeast China.
A few days ago, entrepreneur Pan Shiyi said, "There are no entrepreneurs in Northeast China". In fact, it does not mean that there are no entrepreneurs in the Northeast, and there are no particularly large entrepreneurs with contributions and influence in the Northeast.
To sum up, it can be reflected that the northeast is not a poor regional position or a poor industrial base, but the business environment continues to improve. Then what can save your northeast? What will save you from Dalian? I think, only by scraping the bone to cure poison, improving the business investment environment and ecological environment, controlling housing prices and attracting talents can we hope to rise in the future!
In fact, the two cities are similar. There is not much difference between Dalian and Qingdao in terms of historical location, historical experience, urban positioning and so on.
Moreover, the two cities have been developing hand in hand, and although they have surpassed each other during the period, it is obviously inconclusive who is strong and who is weak.
The two most similar cities, Dalian and Qingdao, are very similar. They have the same experience in modern history and the same situation in recent years. As a member of 14 coastal development city and one of the five cities with separate plans, the two cities are inevitably compared.
Of course, many people also like to compare with each other.
In the early days of reform and opening up, Dalian surpassed Qingdao in economic performance to some extent, but not much in essence. Subsequently, Qingdao also developed well, especially Qingdao Port, which repeatedly created miracles and made the city famous.
Later it entered the stage of attracting investment. At first, Dalian still had certain advantages, but it was finally leveled. Coupled with the rise of national industries, Qingdao's economy is undoubtedly stronger than Dalian's.
Where did Dalian lose? If we look at the data before 20 10, there is actually no difference between Dalian and Qingdao. Qingdao is sometimes high, Dalian is sometimes high, and the data is not much different.
However, after 20 10 years, the gap between the two began to really widen.
From the state point of view, Qingdao seems to have found the most suitable position to exert its strength, and then it is thriving.
On the other hand, Dalian lacks the starting point and is full of energy.
As for why Dalian is like this, in fact, everyone knows what is going on. There are both macro differences and micro influences, which started from people and lost to others.
The brain drain in Dalian has been serious in recent years, which can be said to be a heavy hammer. In addition, there are many problems in industrial transformation. This is not only a matter of time, but also a matter of talent.
In other words, the main reason for Dalian's economic downturn now lies in people, including those who decide to develop and those who support it.
To tell the truth, many Dalian people, including Dalian people, can only express such hopes for the current development situation and direction of the city, but have no such confidence.
The city began to become disappointing. Of course, Dalian is not the only disappointing city in recent years.
Although the rapid development of Qingdao is surprising, it is also accompanied by the problem of high housing prices.
I have some friends in Qingdao, who happen to be local people. For them, for people who have a house or even several houses at home, high housing prices are of course a good thing.
However, when the housing price in Qingdao is too high for migrant workers to afford, they can only look at the ocean and sigh, either lowering the housing price or accepting some talents to choose other cities for a better life.
Of course, if you choose to settle down, Dalian is a better choice. Both Qingdao and Dalian will say how good their environment is.
However, just from the perspective of settling down, I want to ask you, do you want your children to take the college entrance examination in Shandong or Liaoning?
Let's look at the total GDP of these two companies in recent years.
Demographic situation
Looking at real estate, the demand of permanent population
For cities with foreign trade ports, it mainly depends on the radiation situation in the hinterland. In fact, neither of them is good at Shandong's big balance model. The economy has no highland, it cannot attract high-end talents, and the brain drain is serious; There is no external traffic, no hub for network traffic in the province, and no highland for logistics and distribution. Qingdao can't form a logistics distribution port in the end. This is caused by the difference between regional economic environment and urban macro-planning.
The weakness of Dalian's development is related to the overall depression of the economic environment in Northeast China. After all, regional economy and urban economy are inseparable. Although some provincial capital cities are located in the general regional economy, they can devote themselves to building a city because of their status. However, Dalian is not the provincial capital, and all resources in the province cannot be given priority to Dalian. Dalian itself has no strong neighbors to complement each other, so the development of individual combat is a bit embarrassing. The other is the overall macro-planning of the city. In recent years, Dalian has kept a low profile on its urban positioning. Tourism and software industry seem to be unknown from the past national attention, and their influence and attraction seem to be declining. Although many aspects are still growing steadily in terms of data, the speed of diversified development and economic growth is obviously weaker than that of other cities at the same level, and even Wuxi has been squeezed out of the new first-tier cities in the recent urban classification.
The rise of Qingdao seems to have started from Dalian's economic catch-up. The development of Qingdao mainly benefits from Shandong's balanced urban development model and clear economic development ideas. Qingdao is surrounded by economically strong cities such as Yantai, Weihai and Weifang, and more than 20 intercity railways leave every day. At present, the one-hour metropolitan area has been formed. With the coordinated development of economy and tourism industry in several cities, there are ways to promote the development model of urban agglomeration through resource sharing and mutual benefit. Qingdao is the earliest brand capital in China, but it relied heavily on Haier, Hisense, Aucma, Double Star and Tsingtao Beer in its early days. Although it is not brand capital now, the dependence on these enterprises has been reduced a lot. Instead, it pays more attention to the introduction of powerful foreign companies and domestic leading enterprises in emerging industries, and pays more attention to the shaping of the financial industry. Of course, the result is obvious. At present, more than 100 foreign-funded enterprises in the Fortune 500 have settled in Qingdao, and 17 foreign-funded banks have settled in Qingdao. Qingdao's brand and financial influence are increasing year by year. In addition, the development of tourism is more targeted and the investment direction is clearer. After the number of tourists and tourism revenue both surpassed Dalian, tourism revenue ranked in the top ten in China for many years. Qingdao has a good development model and employment needs, and has been engaged in the introduction of famous schools and talents in recent years. It not only introduced 985 campuses such as Fudan University, Shandong University, Harbin Engineering University and Beihang University, but also fully liberalized undergraduate education. These are the footprints of long-term macro-planning that people can see. Personally, I think Qingdao will once again enter the accelerated development stage and enter a new fast lane in one or two years.
I have lived in Dalian for 18 years, and the gap will get bigger and bigger. For one reason and another, the country's positioning is different. The State Council approved that the population of Dalian should be controlled within 5 million, and the population of Qingdao should reach120,000 by 2022, which is enough to show the future development direction and urban positioning, one is a general city and the other is a metropolis.
I believe everyone in Dalian knows why Dalian has become like this.
Dalian is from the northeast and Qingdao is from Shandong. It's not pleasant to say. Find a family in the northeast who doesn't want to go to the northeast. Not the black northeast. Northeasters speak loudly and do things directly. Many people can't accept this way. Northeasters don't like speaking Mandarin, but they feel really uncomfortable. There are good people and bad people everywhere. Never mind.
Dalian is low-key Qingdao is too high-profile! If Qingdao is not modest, Dalian will surpass Qingdao just around the corner! Too much water in economic data does not tell everything. I often travel between Dalian and Qingdao. Personally, I think Dalian is working harder and more enterprising! Of course, Qingdao has many aspects worth learning from Dalian! Dalian has many aspects that Qingdao can learn from. I like both cities very much. I hope the two brothers can join hands! I don't like talking about politics
The industrial bases of the two places are different. Dalian is mainly based on equipment industry, which represents a country's comprehensive strength. Even if it is difficult, the country will continue to do it. Western developed countries also attach great importance to the equipment industry, so Dalian's main competitors are developed countries such as the United States, Japan and Germany. At the same time, the equipment industry is not a civilian commodity, orders come from major enterprises and countries, and ordinary people will not buy Dalian equipment. Qingdao, on the other hand, is mainly a light industrial product with low technical content. Its main competitors are underdeveloped countries such as Southeast Asia and India, and the output of light industrial products is unlimited. It is said that Haier and Hisense have tens of millions of pieces a year, which is unimaginable for Dalian's equipment industry. Even so, per capita Dalian is higher than Qingdao.
Dalian, also known as Bincheng, is a sub-provincial city in Liaoning Province, a city under separate state planning, and an important central city, port and scenic tourist city in the northern coast of China approved by the State Council. Total area 12573.85 square kilometers, registered population of 5.952 million, registered population of 4.2854 million in cities and towns, and urbanization rate of 72%. In 20 19, the GDP of Dalian was 70065438+700 million yuan.
Qingdao, also known as Island City, Qingdao and Jiaoao, is a sub-provincial city and a city with separate plans in Shandong Province. It is an important coastal central city and coastal holiday tourist city in China approved by the State Council, and also an international port city. The total area is 1 1293 square kilometers, and the total resident population of the city is 9,499,800. Regional GDP11741.31100 million yuan.
Judging from the comparison between the two cities. They are all important coastal cities with the same area. Judging from the resident population, Dalian is close to 6 million and Qingdao is more than 9 million. Judging from the market value created, Dalian is more than 700 billion, and Qingdao 1. 1 trillion. Why is Dalian's economy surpassed by Qingdao? First of all, the economic growth in Northeast China has been slow in recent years, and Liaoning's GDP ranks lower. Dalian's economy will not develop much in the big environment. Dalian has no national policy to support major projects, the main leaders are vacant for a long time, the net inflow of population is negative, the wage income is low and the prices are high. Without the corresponding policy support of the state, it is inevitable that Dalian's economy will continue to decline. There are other reasons, you know.
As the main economic zone in Shandong Province, Qingdao's development is sustainable. Qingdao radiates the whole Liaodong Peninsula, with a large development space and a wide area. The state has given corresponding policy support to Qingdao's economic construction. As the sailing competition city of the 2008 Olympic Games, Qingdao not only promoted the economic development of Qingdao, but also improved its international reputation. Qingdao is becoming more and more confident and the economic environment is improving, which will inevitably make Qingdao catch up with Dalian's development.
Cities, like enterprises, can both develop hematopoiesis internally and transfuse blood externally.