China securities journal recently received an exclusive report from the Economic Situation Analysis Group of the Macroeconomic Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, which predicted that the housing market in China would enter a relatively depressed state as early as 2008 and at the latest in 2009. The report suggests that real estate growth should be suppressed for a long time before industrialization is completed; Speed up the collection of real estate tax, the per capita can be reduced by 30 square meters, and the excess part will be subject to the retention tax.

In addition, the report predicts that the national economic growth rate may fall below10% for the first time in 2009; Investment growth may be "first suppressed and then promoted", and it is expected to increase by 22%; Residential investment will further increase; Consumption will continue to grow steadily and rapidly, with an estimated growth of13%; Exports may slow down significantly, with an expected growth of18%; The price level will rise, and the CPI is expected to rise 1.5%-2%.

In recent two years, China's economic downturn and national economic tension have led to a sharp drop in house prices, and the stock market will be turbulent after the Olympic Games this year.