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What is the future of mankind?
In which direction is mankind developing? Peter Ward, a paleontologist at the University of Washington, pointed out in his book Evolution in the Future that by distorting plants and animals on the earth according to human's own wishes, we are actually making it impossible for us to become extinct. Assuming that human beings will continue to exist in the next 500 million years, Ward and others believe that human beings will develop in the following five directions.

Six forms of human species in the future world

The same is true of a person's world, ethnic integration.

After the robbery, human beings split.

Gene man, pharmacological superman, or monster?

Semi-robot artificial intelligence, man-machine integration

Astronomers conquer space and the fittest survive.

neoteric

Today, the human environment is experiencing the fastest change in history. What will this change lead to? What are its prospects?

In order to answer these questions that people all over the world are generally concerned about, since the 1970s, various theories have appeared one after another. The famous "zero growth theory" is based on Douglas's "growth limit" theory. Based on people's ecological requirements, British Goldsmith believes that the reformed industrial social ecosystem cannot support the "balanced and stable social theory" of sustained economic growth; The famous "miniaturized economic theory" put forward by British shoemakers emphasizes that we should attach importance to the relationship between man and nature; Karen Bass's "theory of humanitarian society"; The theory of adjusting the overall structure of human activities from the aspects of physics, biology, economy and society by American Barclays and Sackler; Seneca and taussig's "compensation theory" based on "scarce world": Cotene's "environmental economics in transition"; Frey, an American, maintains a high standard of living indefinitely, with a comfortable environment and "ecological morality" and "economics of an ideal ecological society"; Kahn, an American, inferred from historical methods that the development of science and technology and human history and culture will inevitably lead to the "great turning point" theory of economic growth; British Mi Xiang tried to coordinate the utopian "zoning theory" of modernism and environmentalism. Retrogression and retro-ism, which go further than Mi Xiang's dualism ... These theories can basically be divided into three views: pessimism, optimism and realism.

The famous representative of the pessimists is the Club of Rome, which was founded in 1968 and consists of more than 100 scientists, economists, educators and entrepreneurs in the world. Their purpose is to explore the future of world economic development and the trend of human society. They try to describe the face of the future world in a scientific way and put forward the measures that should be taken to ensure the development that mankind hopes. They have published some internationally influential works, the most sensational of which is The Limits to Growth. According to their prediction, if the world continues to develop at the current growth rate of population, industrialization, pollution, food production and resource utilization, then by the end of the 20th century, resources will begin to decline, and by 2050, resources will suddenly drop to a very low level. By 2040, environmental pollution will rapidly reach its peak, and then it will tend to ease with the depletion of resources and the decline of industry and agriculture; The world population will not reach its maximum until around 2050, when it will reach tens of billions. They assert that the only feasible way to avoid the final collapse of the world system is to pursue a zero-growth policy to maintain the stability of the world system.

There are many representatives of optimists, such as H. Kahn, A. toffler, B. Murray, D. Bell and so on. They all have monographs that systematically expound their views on the future. They believe that in terms of energy, mankind has begun to apply atomic energy in practice. Although solar energy, ocean energy, biomass energy and biogas energy are still in the experimental stage, there is no doubt that the future will be successful and the energy crisis can be completely overcome. In terms of ecological environment, with the development of society and scientific progress, human beings can overcome all possible obstacles at present and in the future, create a beautiful artificial ecological environment and maintain ecological balance; As for environmental pollution, as long as less than 2% of the world's GDP is spent on anti-pollution measures, the pollution caused by development can be completely solved and the environment can be kept clean and good; In addition, the wide application of genetic engineering, especially asexual reproduction, will provide abundant rations and non-staple food for human beings; The fluctuation and quality of population will also be subject to people's will ... Therefore, they are highly optimistic that human beings are entering the most creative and broad era in history.

There are also some realists who believe that the quality of tomorrow's world is not predestined, but depends on whether the decisions made by human beings in the next few decades are wise.

The highest state of mankind is that there is no one, you know, that is, there is no one, everyone has become a soul, floating around ~

Immunity is getting lower and lower. The earth has become a big poison ball. Environmental pollution. Food pollution. Water and air pollution. Taking drugs. Abuse of antibiotic auxin in animal food. Cross-infection between humans and animals is becoming more and more serious. A vicious circle.