According to the data of iResearch Research Institute, from 2000 to 20 18, the domestic used car transaction volume increased from 250,000 to 654.38+038,200, an increase of nearly 55 times, while the domestic used car market transaction volume achieved a compound annual growth of 22% in the past eight years. Compared with the bleak domestic new car market, the spring of used cars seems to have really come.
Judging from the data in recent years alone, the domestic used car market seems to have entered the honeymoon period of growth, but in terms of total volume, there is still a lot of room for growth compared with the mature foreign automobile market.
Relevant data show that in the United States, the transaction volume of used cars is basically 2-3 times that of new cars. In the past decade, the average annual sales volume of new cars in the United States was about160,000, while the average annual sales volume of used cars was about 40 million. In neighboring Japan, the average annual sales volume of new cars is about 6 million, and the annual trading volume of used cars is 8.5 million, which is 1.4 times that of new cars.
In China, the domestic automobile sales in 20 18 were 28.08 million, and the second-hand car sales in the same period were13190,000. Second-hand car sales only account for 46.9% of new cars, which is still far behind the United States and Japan. If the sales volume of new cars in 20 18 is taken as the base, Japanese used cars are 1.4 times that of new cars, then the domestic used car market will increase by nearly 26 million.
In fact, according to the six-year car change cycle, the domestic used car market should have an outbreak period around 20 15, because the real popularization of domestic cars began with the stimulus policy in 2009, and the annual sales of new cars increased from less than10 million in 2008 to 28.879 million in 20 17, and then the market became saturated.
Based on this calculation, the new car sold in 2009 should be a big cycle of 20 15 after six years, and the corresponding used car market will also skyrocket. The capital market has seen this opportunity, and used car platforms have mushroomed, and all kinds of money will be spent on promotion. However, the used car market did not break out with the arrival of the car change tide. In 20 15, the sales volume of used cars was nearly 9.42 million, with an increase of only single digits, and the proportion of used cars in new cars was only 40%. Until 20 18, the sales of used cars were only13190,000, which was faster than the sales of new cars in the same period, but far less than expected. Why is this?
1, policy restrictions
Since July 1 day, 2000, the national emission standard I has been implemented in most parts of China in just 20 years. The implementation of new emission standards means that new cars with old emissions cannot be licensed or used cars with old emissions cannot move across the city. Taking Guangzhou as an example, after the implementation of the National Sixth Standard, used cars with emissions lower than the National Sixth Standard cannot be licensed in Guangzhou, which makes it difficult for foreign used cars to flow into Guangzhou, and the range of used cars selected by local consumers in Guangzhou is greatly limited. There are also many cities that are restricted from moving like Guangzhou.
The new cars sold in 2009 were all in accordance with the national emission standards, and by 20 15, the national emission standards had already been implemented in various places. Therefore, even if the used car is in good condition, it can't be transferred from different places, which naturally makes a large number of users who originally wanted to buy used cars turn to the new car market. This also explains why the second-hand car market is still tepid in the first big cycle of changing cars on 20 15.
In recent years, with the removal of restrictions in some cities in the province, there has been a certain spring in the used car trading market. However, in the face of increasingly strict and frequent new emission regulations, many cars of Grade 4 and below will become yellow-label cars, and if they fail to pass the annual inspection, they will need to be scrapped. It's a pity that the new cars listed before 20 17 are basically cars with national emissions of four or below.
2, the industry itself is not standardized:
1, the water in the used car industry is deep, and there are many articles on the Internet that expose the evil deeds of black-hearted traders. This is mainly related to relevant policies and the quality of employees. The domestic market is huge, and there are birds in the Woods. Some people can ignore the basic principles of being a man in order to maximize their interests, so cheating happens from time to time. The accident car and soaking car will be sold as normal cars after being shoddy.
2. Information opacity is also one of the reasons for the high level of domestic used car industry, but now many regular used car dealers can provide detailed maintenance records, and with the rise of used car platforms, the price of used cars is becoming more and more transparent. However, individual cheating is inevitable, so when buying a used car, you must find an experienced old driver to check it out.
3, the road is one foot high and the magic is one foot high. Some accident cars have been carefully handled by professional repair shops (specifically for car dealers). Older, even most car dealers can't see that it is an accident car, let alone ordinary people.
4. The price is high. Domestic second-hand car prices are generally more expensive than those abroad, and they are much more expensive. Take CARMAX, the largest used car chain in America. 20 13 years, BMW 328i? The 2.0L automatic transmission is 62,000 kilometers and 65,438+09,998 US dollars (about 654,380+037,700 yuan), while the price of the same car in China is about 654,380+06-654,380+07 million, and the supply is small.
In 20 14, the automatic transmission of Honda accord 2.4L was 56,000 kilometers, and the price was 17998 USD (about123,000 yuan), and the domestic sales volume was about13-140,000 yuan.
The reason why domestic used cars are generally more expensive than foreign ones is that the prices are opaque, and on the other hand, there are fewer sources of cars and less competition, and rare things are more expensive.
1, in the middle of the Middle Ages, it was popular to pick up leaks, that is, to spend a small amount of money to buy a valuable treasure, and so was the used car industry. For example, some car owners are in urgent need of money or changing cars, which happens to be your favorite car. Maybe you can get it at a low price. This kind of small probability event is like winning the lottery, which can be met but not sought.
2. The depreciation rate is low, and the new car's value preservation rate is low. From the moment I bought it, I began to depreciate. If I sold it immediately, I would lose 20,000-30,000. Luxury brands are even more exaggerated, and some used cars may be sold in a year or two, not necessarily at a loss.
There is a depreciation rate for new cars after leaving the factory. Generally speaking, the depreciation rate of newly purchased vehicles in the first five years is about 65,438+05%-20%, 65,438+02%-65,438+05%, 65,438+00%-65,438+02% and 8%-65, depending on the specific vehicle conditions. After five years, the annual depreciation rate is about 5%. Therefore, the price reduction of new cars in the first three years is very strong. A new car with 65,438+10,000 yuan may get a discount of about 70,000 yuan after two years. And if you buy a used car, it is also 65,438+10,000, and the discount may be around 90,000 after two years. If you buy it at a price lower than the current market price, you may still make money after two years.
3, cost-effective, spend a little money to do big things, the same price, you can buy a used car that is higher than a new car. If you don't mind the number of years and kilometers, you can spend a little money to buy a facade car to pick up and drop off customers. Customers will only look at what car you drive, and they won't know if your car is second-hand.
4. Save the trouble of paying the purchase tax. The purchase tax is generally charged at 65,438+00% of the car price (excluding tax), and the car with 65,438 438+ 10/10,000 yuan is about 1 10,000 yuan. If it is a luxury car or an imported car, it will be more expensive. One hundred and twenty thousand is possible.
5, personal practice handcart, scraping friction does not have to feel bad, for novice drivers, before they are familiar with driving skills, scraping collision is inevitable, and it is quite fragrant to spend 20,000 to 30,000 yuan to buy a handcart.
6, less odor, new cars generally contain a heavy formaldehyde smell, one is unpleasant, and the other is harmful to the body, while used cars generally do not exist.
7. Don't worry about being kidnapped by the 4S shop after sale. According to relevant laws and regulations, all new cars must provide a warranty period of not less than 3 years and 60,000 kilometers. However, many cars enjoy this warranty on the premise that they must be maintained according to the requirements of 4S stores. Many car owners hold the mentality that more things are not as good as less things, and let 4S shops kill them. For example, 300 yuan's engine oil charges 400 yuan, and 50 yuan's 4S shop can charge 200 yuan, knowing that it has been slaughtered, but it is helpless.
But this is basically not the case with used cars. Generally, used cars on the market have passed the three-year warranty period, so it doesn't make much difference whether you choose to go to the outside maintenance point or go to the 4S shop for maintenance. Even many car owners buy services directly in JD.COM, so only one year of maintenance can save bad expenses.
8, personal needs and preferences, for some car enthusiasts, in the face of some favorite classic models discontinued, they have to choose used cars.
9. Let yourself know what kind of car you want. When buying a car, most people are actually not sure what car to buy. Listening to the wind is rain, and they often trust the keyboard car god on the Internet. They obviously want to buy a grocery car, but they don't know that they have got an oil tiger. Obviously, he is a person who pursues driving, but he bought a car that is as soft as a sofa and changed lanes like a sailboat.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.