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Oxford University predicts that in the next 10 years, 25 kinds of jobs will disappear, and nearly half of people will be unemployed, really.
Recently, two news stories in Shanghai have once again aroused people's hot discussion about artificial intelligence:

On September 24th, Bao Xiaoliang, the branch of intelligent financial management "AI" of Ant Group, made a full interaction with the audience and provided professional financial management knowledge and suggestions.

On September 20th, in a business building in Shanghai, seven chubby robots shuttled back and forth, becoming the "baton" of the takeaway brother. Customers can accurately take meals by inputting the receiving code on the robot head through the mobile phone applet.

Coincidentally.

On September 17, Baidu Apollo and Jinlong launched the first L4-class self-driving minibus in Chongqing, which has passed the self-driving manned test and will be opened to traffic in the near future.

It can be predicted that in the near future, many industries such as labor-intensive couriers, taxi drivers, bus drivers, manufacturing and medical industries will be replaced, and millions of people will be laid off.

According to the prediction of the famous Oxford Economic Research Team of Oxford University, about half of the existing 702 jobs will disappear, and 47% of the employees are in a "dangerous" state.

What is even more worrying is that as early as 20 13 years, robots developed in Japan can compete with human intelligence. In addition to their super-fast computing ability, they also perform well in common sense judgment and reading comprehension.

So, how will we face the coming industrial revolution? How to have a place in the future without being replaced by the trend of the times?

This book "When Artificial Intelligence is admitted to a prestigious school" will tell you the answer.

The author of this book, Keiko Takedao, is a famous mathematician and TED speaker in Japan. He presided over the world-famous "Robot Experimental University" artificial intelligence research project. He showed the development status of artificial intelligence with solid theoretical and experimental data, looked forward to the future prospect of the artificial intelligence era, and made preparations for people in advance.

After the book was published, it shocked the whole of Japan. Major TV stations, newspapers and online media rushed to report, and various awards were soft. One of the best is the 20 19 Business Book Award, which sold more than 300,000 copies that year.

Do you know what our most common intelligent robot is?

Maybe you will say sweeping robot, bank AI assistant, restaurant deliveryman, automatic answering machine, intelligent surgeon and so on.

Actually, it's not entirely correct.

We deal with this intelligent robot every day and can be said to be inseparable friends. The first thing that many people think of when they wake up is that they can't forget it before going to bed. Is the most indispensable thing in life.

Yes, that's the mobile phone.

The popularity of smart phones has brought artificial intelligence to everyone's daily life. Walking on the street, people can see everywhere using mobile phones to find out where there are delicious restaurants or the nearest parking lot.

Whenever and wherever you want to go, just enter the starting point and ending point of Baidu map on your mobile phone, and the optimized time-saving route will be presented immediately, and even the real-time road conditions will be clear at a glance.

I just bought chicken, duck, fish and ribs, as well as high-grade Tricholoma matsutake, Cordyceps, safflower and so on. As long as you check it with your mobile phone, the cooking method, medicinal value and eating taboos are clear.

You can't go home and reunite with your relatives during the Spring Festival. Different from slow writing and only hearing voices on the phone, video connection has solved all the troubles and face-to-face chat has become a reality.

Homework that you can't do, information about wanting idols, and strange questions can all be answered on your mobile phone. What's even more amazing is that intelligent robots can also take college exams like people.

From 2065438 to June 2006, the deviation of eight subjects in five education departments was 57. 1, of which the deviation of mathematics was as high as 76.2 and that of world history was 66.3. Even English and Chinese, which are used to study grammar, dialogue, common sense, reading, understanding and expression, are already around 50.

Do you know what the deviation value of 57. 1 means?

This means that among the 535 excellent universities accounting for 70% of Japan's 765 universities, Dongda Robot has a more than 80% probability of being admitted, including first-class universities such as March and Guanguan Tongli.

You know, many people may not be able to achieve such results after studying hard for fifteen years, and some even can't get into the threshold of 70% excellent universities, let alone the admission rate of 80%.

According to the data of the Ministry of Education over the years, there are about 9.4 million candidates in the national college entrance examination every year, and only about 3.7 million undergraduate students enroll, which means that the undergraduate admission rate is only 40%.

It can be said that as far as the current technical level is concerned, intelligent robots have left many people far behind, and now they have been robbed of their jobs by robots before the future.

Do you still remember the 20 16 Foxconn layoffs?

2065438+May 2006, Foxconn Jiangsu Kunshan Branch used robot technology. Overnight,110,000 employees were reduced to 50,000, and 60,000 jobs were replaced by robots.

Therefore, the disappearance of some jobs caused by the emergence of artificial intelligence technology is not recent, it has already appeared in our lives and affected our lives.

In the financial field, with the emergence of intelligent robots and mobile phones, it is no longer necessary to open an account, manage money or transfer money at the counter. In terms of bank lending, the analysis of intelligent robots is more professional and stronger than that of loan officers.

In the medical field, intelligent robots have long been used for minimally invasive treatment in most surgical fields, including oncology, thoracic surgery, obstetrics and gynecology, urology and cardiac surgery.

In the legal field, many intelligent robots are used to deal with contract review. Most importantly, they are more rational and neutral than people, without any personal emotional factors.

The intelligent robot "Xiaosi" introduced by Dalian Judicial Bureau is equipped with more than 400,000 laws and regulations, which can help the parties to calculate the litigation costs, industrial injury compensation, traffic compensation, lawyer's fees and so on more accurately.

In the press, in 2006, Thomson Company of the United States took the lead in using robots to write economic and financial news articles, and Xinhua News Agency's "Quick Pen Xiao Xin" realized the deep integration of editing and editing business and technical means, which was used to write news reports and short messages on sports events, economic quotes, securities information and so on.

In the catering industry, Haidilao's intelligent service robot runs 140 times a day, transports 280 pallets and goes to work 24 hours a day, far exceeding the manual workload. The key is that it can also stir-fry and serve good food in three minutes.

For example, 25 professions, such as telephone promoters, real estate registration and investigation, insurance industry employees, tax filing agents, assistant librarians, data entry clerks and sports referees, will cease to exist after 10 to 20 years due to the development of artificial intelligence.

Moreover, Keiko Noi predicts that in the next 20 years or even less, not only the blue-collar class will face enormous challenges, but even the white-collar class will be reduced by 50%, and the severity is far beyond our imagination.

It can be said with certainty that intelligent robots will bring more new occupations that we can't predict in the future.

Of course, no matter how powerful artificial intelligence is, it is still technology. Just like microwave oven, it has both magical and unpredictable potential and inherent limitations as a technology.

Therefore, the development of artificial intelligence is more complicated, even if it is loaded with deep learning software far beyond the existing level, it is only a computer in the final analysis.

All a computer can do is calculate. It needs to convert human cognition or what human cognition has into formulas according to mathematical algorithms, so as to work quickly and efficiently.

But not all the problems in the world can be converted into formulas, just like in daily life, the meaning of the same sentence is different in different tone and context.

For example: not bad! Two words.

If you say it with a smile, it is not only good, but actually very good; If you are exhausted, it is not good at all, and it is likely to be very bad; If you don't have any expression and say it meticulously, it is likely to have four meanings: very good, very good, average and very poor.

What you mean depends on the situation of the interlocutor. Only by understanding the cause and effect can we really understand the meaning of these two words, but in artificial intelligence robots, it is just a sentence and a meaning.

Therefore, if we want to make a breakthrough in the future and have our own place, we must master irreplaceable abilities and be competent for "the work that artificial intelligence can't do."

That is reading comprehension.

The research team of Oxford University predicts that the top 25 occupations that will still exist in the future 10 to 20 years are: leisure therapists, front-line supervisors such as equipment maintenance, installation and overhaul, social workers related to mental health and drugs, nutritionists, internal surgeons and psychologists.

These "survival occupations" have one thing in common, that is, they need strong communication skills, understanding and flexible judgment, that is, we often say that creativity is not limited by the framework and is extended.

However, the reality is very worrying.

Kiko Noi's survey on reading comprehension of 25,000 Japanese subjects found that:

More than half of high school students can't understand the meaning of the textbook correctly, which means that more than 80% of high school students will lose to Neusoft Robot.

What is even more worrying is that some children have weak ability to learn actively.

When Kiko Noi was watching TV, she saw this scene:

Four girls play crossword puzzles and type () in hot weather. Some say nail filling, some say evil filling, and some say they don't know. Finally, I agreed to fill in the evil, but no one took the initiative to seek the correct answer.

Therefore, if we don't work hard now, even if there are new jobs in the future, people will still face a terrible situation: enterprises are short of manpower, but the unemployed can be seen everywhere in society.

Because there are not enough people to take on the jobs that artificial intelligence can't do, those who are taken away by artificial intelligence have only two choices: to find a low-paying job that anyone can do, or to lose their jobs. ...

But do you want this future?

There is a saying that action is better than action. As long as you are willing to face and want to solve, all difficulties will be solved. After all, everyone's brain uses less than 20%.

Moreover, the farthest way, as long as we want to go, as long as we take the first step, we will eventually reach the end.

So, don't hesitate, let's work hard from now on. Let's prepare for a happy 2030 with our own efforts. # Scientific combustion plan # # Science

About the author: YoYo, a war traveler, a literary fan, feels about life and family, looking for poetry and distance between the lines. #